Gambling Strategies Guide

Understand the odds and make smarter bets

Overview

CommishBot offers four gambling options, each with different risk/reward profiles. Understanding the math can help you make informed decisions.

Disclaimer: All gambling is designed to have a house edge. Over time, the expected value is negative. Only gamble what you're willing to lose!

🪙

Coin Flip

50/50 odds

🎰

Slots

Variable payouts

🃏

Blackjack

Skill-based

🏈

Red Zone

Push your luck

Coin Flip

The simplest gamble - pure 50/50 odds. Win and double your bet, or lose it all.

/gamble amount:100
Win (50%): +🪙 100
Lose (50%): -🪙 100

Expected Value: 0 (fair game, no house edge on individual bets)

Slots Machine

A football-themed slot machine with weighted symbols. Match three of a kind for big payouts!

Payout Table

MatchSymbolsMultiplierRarity
Triple Jackpot🎰 🎰 🎰100xLegendary (2% weight)
Triple Trophy🏆 🏆 🏆25xRare (5% weight)
Triple Gold🥇 🥇 🥇10xRare (8% weight)
Triple Star⭐ ⭐ ⭐7xUncommon (10% weight)
Triple Stadium🏟️ 🏟️ 🏟️5xUncommon (15% weight)
Triple Common🏈/⚽/🎯3xCommon (60% total)
Two MatchingAny pair2xFrequent

Expected Value Analysis

Slots has a house edge - most spins lose. The big payouts are rare but possible.

With weighted symbols, most common outcomes are either total losses or 2x wins from pairs. The jackpot is exciting but extremely unlikely (~0.0008% for three 🎰).

Blackjack

The most skill-based option. Play against the dealer with Hit, Stand, Double Down, and Surrender. Your stats are tracked automatically including win streaks and profit!

Rules

  • • Goal: Get closer to 21 than the dealer without busting
  • • Face cards = 10, Aces = 1 or 11
  • • Soft hands display as "Soft X" (e.g., A+6 = Soft 17)
  • • Dealer stands on 17
  • • Blackjack (21 on first 2 cards) pays 1.5x
  • • Double Down: Double bet for exactly one more card
  • • Surrender: Return 50% of bet before your first hit

Basic Strategy

When to Hit

  • • Your hand is 11 or less (can't bust)
  • • Your hand is 12-16 and dealer shows 7+
  • • Soft 17 or less (Ace counting as 11)

When to Stand

  • • Your hand is 17+ (risk of bust too high)
  • • Your hand is 12-16 and dealer shows 2-6
  • • Soft 18+ (Ace counting as 11)

When to Double Down

  • • Your hand is 11 (best doubling hand)
  • • Your hand is 10 and dealer shows 2-9
  • • Your hand is 9 and dealer shows 3-6

When to Surrender

Surrender lets you forfeit half your bet to avoid a likely loss. Use it sparingly against strong dealer upcards.

Optimal Surrender Hands

  • • Your hand is 16 and dealer shows 9, 10, or Ace
  • • Your hand is 15 and dealer shows 10
  • • Surrender is only available before your first hit
  • • You get back 50% of your original bet

Why surrender? With 16 vs dealer 10, you'll lose ~77% of the time playing normally. Surrendering guarantees you keep half instead of likely losing everything.

Stats & Leaderboards

Every blackjack game is tracked automatically. View your stats and compete on the leaderboards!

/blackjackstats

View comprehensive personal statistics:

  • • Games played, wins, losses, pushes
  • • Win rate and double down success rate
  • • Total wagered and net profit/loss
  • • Best/worst streaks and biggest win

/blackjackleaderboard

Compete across 7 categories:

  • • Most games played / Most wins
  • • Highest win rate (min 20 games)
  • • Most natural blackjacks
  • • Highest profit / Best streak / Biggest win

Streak tracking: Your current win/loss streak is displayed after each game. Can you beat the server's best streak record?

Red Zone

A push-your-luck football minigame. Start at your own 20-yard line and drive toward the end zone. Each play gains yards, but fumble risk increases as you advance. Cash out to lock in your multiplier, or risk it all for the 10x touchdown payout!

How It Works

  • • Start at your own 20-yard line with 0% fumble risk
  • • Click Run Play to gain 5-20 yards randomly
  • • Fumble risk increases as you get closer to the end zone
  • • Click Cash Out anytime to take your current multiplier
  • • Reach the end zone for a TOUCHDOWN = 10x payout!
  • • Fumble = lose everything

Field Position Table

Risk and reward scale as you advance down the field:

PositionMultiplierFumble RiskEV if Continue
Own 20 (Start)1.0x0%Safe
Own 301.2x8%1.10x
Own 401.5x12%1.32x
Midfield (50)2.0x18%1.64x
Opp 402.8x25%2.10x
Opp 304.0x33%2.68x
Red Zone (Opp 20)5.5x42%3.19x
Opp 107.5x52%3.60x
TOUCHDOWN!10.0x0%WIN!

EV if Continue = Multiplier × (1 - Fumble Risk). This shows your expected return if you run another play at this position.

When to Cash Out

The math is in your favor early, but the decision gets tougher as you advance:

Always Run (Own 20-40)

Fumble risk is low (0-12%) and the expected value of running exceeds your current multiplier. There's no reason to cash out early.

The Danger Zone (Midfield to Opp 30)

Fumble risk is climbing (18-33%). The EV of continuing is still positive, but you're now risking meaningful multipliers. Consider your risk tolerance.

High Stakes (Opp 20 and beyond)

At 42-52% fumble chance, you're flipping coins with serious money on the line. At 5.5x+ multiplier, cashing out is the "safe" play. Going for the touchdown is pure gamble. Are you feeling lucky?

Optimal Strategy (Mathematically)

Since EV stays positive all the way to the goal line, the math says always run. But this ignores bankroll management and the pain of watching a 7.5x multiplier evaporate to a fumble. Play based on your risk tolerance and how much you're betting.

Stats & Leaderboards

Every Red Zone drive is tracked. Compete on the leaderboards!

/redzoneleaderboard

Compete across 6 categories:

  • Most Touchdowns - Total TDs scored
  • Highest TD Rate - Win percentage (min 10 games)
  • Longest Drive - Most yards gained in a single game
  • Highest Profit - Net winnings over all games
  • Best TD Streak - Consecutive touchdowns
  • Biggest Single Win - Largest single payout

Streak tracking: TD streaks count consecutive touchdowns. Cashing out resets your streak. Can you string together multiple TDs in a row?

Risk Management

Set Limits

Decide your gambling budget before you start. Stop when you hit your limit, win or lose.

Bet Sizing

Bet small percentages of your total. The minimum (🪙 10) lets you play longer. The maximum (🪙 10,000) is for high rollers only.

Know the Odds

Coin flip: 50% win rate, 0 EV
Slots: Variable, negative EV
Blackjack: ~49% win rate with perfect play

Pro Tips

1

For consistent odds, stick to coin flip. It's the fairest game with no house edge per bet.

2

Slots is entertainment, not investment. Play for the thrill of big wins, not expected profit.

3

Blackjack rewards study. Learn basic strategy to minimize the house edge.

4

Red Zone is for thrill seekers. The math says always run, but watching a 7x multiplier fumble away hurts. Cash out when you're happy with your win.

5

Never gamble with coins you need. Keep your core savings in the bank, gamble with wallet funds you can afford to lose.